PHILS HAVE 76% PLAYOFFS CHANCE, METS AND YANKS EACH 11% TO WIN WORLD SERIES
By Sam Bush
Here are latest projections from FiveThirtyEight.com:
| AVG. SIMULATED SEASON | POSTSEASON CHANCES | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEAM
▲
▼
|
DIVISION
▲
▼
|
TEAM RATING
▲
▼
|
1-WEEK CHANGE
▲
▼
|
RECORD
▲
▼
|
RUN DIFF.
▲
▼
|
MAKE PLAYOFFS
▲
▼
|
WIN DIVISION ▲
▼
|
WIN WORLD SERIES
▲
▼
|
Dodgers92-42
|
NL West | 1618 |
-3
|
111-51 | +337 | >99% | >99% | 32% |
Astros87-48
|
AL West | 1572 |
+5
|
104-58 | +199 | >99% | >99% | 13% |
Braves84-51
|
NL East | 1578 |
+3
|
100-62 | +181 | >99% | 31% | 12% |
Mets85-50
|
NL East | 1556 |
-6
|
102-60 | +155 | >99% | 69% | 11% |
Yankees81-54
|
AL East | 1566 |
-2
|
97-65 | +211 | >99% | 91% | 11% |
Blue Jays75-59
|
AL East | 1544 |
+5
|
90-72 | +76 | 92% | 5% | 4% |
Rays75-58
|
AL East | 1540 |
+7
|
90-72 | +72 | 92% | 4% | 4% |
Cardinals79-56
|
NL Central | 1534 |
-1
|
95-67 | +153 | >99% | 97% | 3% |
Mariners76-59
|
AL West | 1530 |
+10
|
92-70 | +87 | 99% | <1% | 3% |
Brewers71-63
|
NL Central | 1525 |
-4
|
87-75 | +44 | 53% | 3% | 1% |
Padres74-62
|
NL West | 1519 |
-1
|
87-75 | +31 | 70% | <1% | 1% |
Guardians69-64
|
AL Central | 1506 |
-7
|
85-77 | +29 | 55% | 53% | 1% |
Phillies73-61
|
NL East | 1529 |
-6
|
87-75 | +69 | 76% | <1% | <1% |
Twins68-65
|
AL Central | 1509 |
-4
|
83-79 | +29 | 30% | 28% | <1% |
White Sox68-67
|
AL Central | 1513 |
+5
|
83-79 | -15 | 21% | 19% | <1% |
Orioles71-64
|
AL East | 1490 | 83-79 | +3 | 11% | <1% | <1% | |
Giants65-68
|
NL West | 1503 |
+6
|
79-83 | +7 | 1% | <1% | <1% |
Red Sox67-69
|
AL East | 1509 |
+3
|
79-83 | -46 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Diamondbacks65-69
|
NL West | 1486 |
+6
|
77-85 | -30 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Angels59-76
|
AL West | 1494 | 72-90 | -48 | <1% | — | <1% | |
Rangers58-76
|
AL West | 1470 |
-8
|
70-92 | -29 | <1% | — | <1% |
Cubs56-78
|
NL Central | 1466 |
-3
|
69-93 | -106 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Marlins55-78
|
NL East | 1467 |
-6
|
68-94 | -106 | <1% | — | <1% |
Reds53-79
|
NL Central | 1472 |
+3
|
67-95 | -117 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Rockies57-79
|
NL West | 1451 |
-1
|
67-95 | -171 | <1% | — | <1% |
Royals55-81
|
AL Central | 1455 |
+1
|
66-96 | -162 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Tigers51-84
|
AL Central | 1444 |
-12
|
62-100 | -188 | <1% | <1% | <1% |
Athletics50-85
|
AL West | 1437 |
-1
|
60-102 | -189 | <1% | — | <1% |
Pirates49-84
|
NL Central | 1421 |
-3
|
60-102 | -246 | <1% | — | <1% |
Nationals48-87
|
NL East | 1444 |
+12
|
58-104 | -229 | <1% | — | <1%1% |
