By Max Harper
Sheil Kapadia has made some bold predictions on The Ringer:
7. Carson Wentz is one-and-done in Washington
First, let’s start with why I might be wrong here.
One, Wentz has finished in the top half of the league in QBR four times in the past five seasons.
Two, the Commanders offense finished 21st in DVOA last season with Taylor Heinicke at quarterback. So maybe the floor with Wentz isn’t that low.
So why am I predicting disaster? Reports out of Commanders training camp suggested that Wentz’s long-standing issues—specifically his erratic accuracy—continue to be a problem. This has been the story with Wentz—he’s never shown an ability to cure his fatal flaws.
Former Eagles coach Doug Pederson knew Wentz’s strengths and weaknesses well. That relationship ended in disaster in 2020. Frank Reich stuck his neck out for Wentz in 2021. After one season, the Colts were done with him.
If you think Wentz will succeed in Washington, you have to believe one of the following three things:
The coaching staff will prop him up higher than the Eagles’ or Colts’ could
His supporting cast will be significantly better than it was in Philadelphia or Indianapolis
Wentz will individually improve his glaring areas of weakness
Maybe one of those things will happen, but none of them seem likely. Wentz has no guaranteed money left on his deal after this year. It could be a short stint in Washington.